Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 59.379631 66.391606 73.673984 81.783691 90.543966 99.703629 109.986617
2024-10-06 49.167154 59.587893 71.043805 84.490561 99.757925 116.471174 136.065756
2024-10-13 42.843726 54.937938 68.763927 85.572614 105.283564 127.495843 154.243160
2024-10-20 37.865199 51.049677 66.647661 86.189597 109.735029 136.909031 170.346971
2024-10-27 32.610028 46.164078 62.736648 84.096163 110.484249 141.607038 180.654343
2024-11-03 30.615118 45.085120 63.250077 87.188481 117.340547 153.495642 199.524245
2024-11-10 28.318389 43.354990 62.722127 88.795060 122.242561 162.974175 215.535349
2024-11-17 25.689426 40.922695 61.059228 88.749903 124.917663 169.628771 228.081483
2024-11-24 24.544382 40.408896 61.832517 91.805022 131.521801 181.209223 246.836872
2024-12-01 22.424556 38.326875 60.323750 91.692430 133.922589 187.444082 258.922283
2024-12-08 20.220055 35.931302 58.208388 90.599552 134.904569 191.784275 268.580735
2024-12-15 18.593836 34.261079 56.988247 90.622299 137.289057 197.892770 280.510396
2024-12-22 17.187071 32.854908 56.109657 91.132005 140.410541 205.124852 294.172242
2024-12-29 16.707618 32.882350 57.325333 94.640653 147.714284 218.009297 315.422289
2025-01-05 15.640701 31.860631 56.894245 95.717638 151.623941 226.394696 330.844955
2025-01-12 14.573672 30.745472 56.241131 96.406155 154.955436 234.011105 345.314029
2025-01-19 12.926273 28.489272 53.678145 94.125986 153.963314 235.685608 351.818221
2025-01-26 12.649160 28.616802 54.865604 97.489754 161.088181 248.520105 373.430473
2025-02-02 12.051983 28.115438 55.004511 99.236013 165.882809 258.194833 390.877704
2025-02-09 11.145672 26.965161 54.015937 99.186952 168.023403 264.191263 403.374067
2025-02-16 10.937530 27.117085 55.179207 102.506116 175.164518 277.242156 425.641924
2025-02-23 10.123297 26.026402 54.191491 102.383834 177.169021 283.085671 438.059796
2025-03-02 9.195112 24.622303 52.585414 101.196736 177.517057 286.553828 447.199426